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blankseplocked Betting pool: date of next QEN [closed]
 
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Marcus Baltar
Savaran Zhayedan Spah
Posted - 2009.06.15 10:56:00 - [31]
 

Money and Evemail sent;
    Hi.
    Just sent (2009.06.15 10:51) 30,000,000 ISK to cover 3 bets of 10,000,000 ISK for the next QEN publication to occur in August 2009, September 2009 or October 2009.
    Thanks.
Thanks.

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.15 21:34:00 - [32]
 

The thread, pool totals and list of bets have been updated.

No clear favourite seems to be emerging - bets are evenly split between October, February and High Field (July or later), with October slightly ahead. Punters looking for a bargain might want to consider March, April, May or June 2010, or July 2009.

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.25 11:58:00 - [33]
 

A reminder that people have until the end of the month to place bets.

Estel Arador
Posted - 2009.06.26 23:09:00 - [34]
 

I've placed another bet, this time on July 2009.

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.27 08:31:00 - [35]
 

I wonder, does this have anything to do with a certain recently-published Q&A?

Estel Arador
Posted - 2009.06.27 08:47:00 - [36]
 

Originally by: Kazuo Ishiguro
I wonder, does this have anything to do with a certain recently-published Q&A?


Nothing to see there!

Ji Sama
Caldari
Tash-Murkon Prime Industries
Posted - 2009.06.27 08:49:00 - [37]
 

20M on July 2009....
would kill myself if i lost that month :p
will transfer isk later today, when i log on!

Krathos Morpheus
Legion Infernal
Posted - 2009.06.27 13:49:00 - [38]
 

Bet placed. 30M on July 2009, 10M on August 2009

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.29 12:15:00 - [39]
 

Last chance for people to place any further bets. We have quite a wide spread, and I'm sure there are some good opportunities to be had.

Lucy Dearheart
Gallente
THE MISPHIT'S
The Elders Alliance
Posted - 2009.06.29 13:52:00 - [40]
 

Put me down for 10M each for July,August,September 2009 and January,February 2010

Total: 50M. I will wire isk when I log in later today sometime between 1900 and 2100 EVE-time.

Marcus Baltar
Savaran Zhayedan Spah
Posted - 2009.06.29 14:19:00 - [41]
 

Put me down for 10 million ISK on July 2009 and November 2009, please.

Will send ISK this evening (Eve time).

Thanks.

MailDeadDrop
Rage and Terror
Posted - 2009.06.29 17:14:00 - [42]
 

Edited by: MailDeadDrop on 29/06/2009 17:16:18
10M each for July, August, and October 2009. ISK on it's way.

Edit: ISK Sent. I took November, too. Couldn't resist 14.2:1 odds...

MDD

Marcus Baltar
Savaran Zhayedan Spah
Posted - 2009.06.29 17:49:00 - [43]
 

Money and Eve-mail sent;
    Hi.
    Just sent (2009.06.29 17:46) 20,000,000 ISK to cover 2 bets of 10,000,000 ISK for the next QEN publication to occur in July 2009 or November 2009.
    Thanks.
Thanks.

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.29 20:42:00 - [44]
 

Pool totals and entries updated. Almost 200m isk has been received over the last few days, and I wouldn't be surprised if a few more people left it until the very last minute.

Zumatra
Caldari
Killer Koalas
Posted - 2009.06.30 05:50:00 - [45]
 

10m on jan 2010

Ami Nia
Posted - 2009.06.30 13:49:00 - [46]
 

Betting as follows:

20m Jul09
10m Aug09
10m Sep09
20m Oct09
10m Nov09
10m Dec09

sent a total of 80m

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.30 16:25:00 - [47]
 

Thank you, list updated.

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.07.02 13:25:00 - [48]
 

A payout calculation section has been added to the bet list. A few remarks:

Zumatra has secured the highest odds, standing to win almost 20 times his stake if the next QEN emerges in January. Ami Nia probably has the best overall strategy, standing to make at least a 33% return on investment if the next QEN comes out any point this year.

Ji Sama, the most prolific spread better, and staking the highest total of any one person, has every option covered, but stands to make a partial loss on 6 of the most popular out of the 13. This is offset somewhat by the possbility of winning the entire pool if it lands anywhere in March-June 2010.

The '2009 Akita T Cynicism Award' goes to Solisk, whose sole bet, on high field, is the largest in the entire pool.

Rakessh
Bat Country
Goonswarm Federation
Posted - 2009.07.02 17:27:00 - [49]
 

Did Betting close?

I'd like 50 mill on May 2010 and 50 mill on June 2010...

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.07.02 17:39:00 - [50]
 

Yes, I updated the thread title several times with the closing date. No further bets are being entered into the pool as of July 1st.

Havok Pierce
Gallente
Aperture Harmonics
K162
Posted - 2009.08.18 15:24:00 - [51]
 

Edited by: Havok Pierce on 18/08/2009 15:24:03
Looks like we have a winner.

http://www.eveonline.com/devblog.asp?a=blog&bid=686


Estel Arador
Posted - 2009.08.18 18:10:00 - [52]
 

Well there's a surprise Very Happy

To be honest I had already given up on it, expected them to wait until after Apoc 1.5.

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.08.18 18:54:00 - [53]
 

Payouts will be made later this week, as I'm currently on holiday. It's been a great deal of fun running the event - watch out for a new one at some point over the next few days.

Solisk
Gallente
HyperFang Aquisitions And Logistics
Posted - 2009.08.18 20:25:00 - [54]
 

Hah! I can't believe I lost!

glas mir
Reaction Scientific
Posted - 2009.08.19 04:35:00 - [55]
 

cheers to the winners, the best part about betting a late month is it is win-win.

I don't win the bet, but I get to read the QEN

Kazzac Elentria
Posted - 2009.08.19 12:19:00 - [56]
 

Blast.... one more month or so and I could have had it.

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.08.19 16:17:00 - [57]
 

Payouts have now been made. The pool was split between 8 people, each receiving 120m isk:

Ami Nia
Estel Arador
Ji Sama
Kazuo Ishiguro
Kratos Morpheus
Lucy Dearheart
MailDeadDrop
Marcus Baltar

With the exception, somewhat ironically, of LaVista Vista, who started the run on July and August, the optimists have been handsomely rewarded at the expense of the greater pessimists (and, in some cases, the spread betters). Estel Arador did particularly well, securing a payout of 6 times his stake.

Estel Arador
Posted - 2009.08.19 22:36:00 - [58]
 

Edited by: Estel Arador on 19/08/2009 22:36:48
Thanks for running this pool Kazuo, it's been fun (and profitable, as far as I'm concerned Wink).

MailDeadDrop
Rage and Terror
Posted - 2009.08.22 06:07:00 - [59]
 

Yes, thanks for doing this -- it was amusing. And I'd wondered where that 120M came from and now I know.

MDD

Ji Sama
Caldari
Tash-Murkon Prime Industries
Posted - 2009.08.22 10:37:00 - [60]
 

yep isk recieved thank you kazuo


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