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Taedrin
Gallente
Kushan Industrial
Posted - 2011.08.13 22:25:00 - [1]
 

Edited by: Taedrin on 14/08/2011 15:36:07
[EDIT] I got my orders of magnitude mixed up Embarassed[/EDIT]

The largest bomb ever built, Tsar Bomba, released more energy than the entire Earth receives from the sun in a day second.

How long until humankind manages to blow themselves up?

Louis deGuerre
Gallente
Malevolence.
Posted - 2011.08.13 22:41:00 - [2]
 

A Saudi Arabian woman can get a divorce if her husband doesn't give her coffee.

Social collapse if we run out of coffee ?

Xenuria
Gallente
Genos Occidere
HYDRA RELOADED
Posted - 2011.08.13 22:53:00 - [3]
 

1 in every 110 people has autism.
50% of all Savants are also Autistic
If the rates of autism are constantly rising how long will it take before the Rise of the Homo-Novis?


Ustrello
Posted - 2011.08.14 00:51:00 - [4]
 

Because knowledge is power!

Taedrin
Gallente
Kushan Industrial
Posted - 2011.08.14 02:27:00 - [5]
 

Edited by: Taedrin on 14/08/2011 02:45:29
OK, let's try this one last time...

(meh, close enough)
(OK, NOW it's finally ready. Stupid CCP forums censoring the + sign in a url...)

Originally by: Xenuria
1 in every 110 people has autism.
50% of all Savants are also Autistic
If the rates of autism are constantly rising how long will it take before the Rise of the Homo-Novis?




Presuming that you are using the words "constantly rising" in the appropriate mathematical sense, we can use derivatives to solve this question!

First let the rate of the rate at which autistic children being born with respect to time be expressed as a second derivative of some function:
Please visit your user settings to re-enable images.
So to find the rate of autistic children being born with respect to time, take the integral of this, which gives us:
Please visit your user settings to re-enable images.
We will use the notation that Please visit your user settings to re-enable images. represents the current year.
Next, it is given that for Please visit your user settings to re-enable images.
Using Please visit your user settings to re-enable images., and the above substitution, we have:
Please visit your user settings to re-enable images.
Solving for t, we have:
Please visit your user settings to re-enable images.
So therefore, every child being born will be autistic after Please visit your user settings to re-enable images. is a constant representing the rate at which the rate of autistic children being born is increasing per year.

Culmen
Caldari
Culmenation
Posted - 2011.08.14 09:36:00 - [6]
 

Edited by: Culmen on 14/08/2011 09:49:17
Originally by: Taedrin
The largest bomb ever built, Tsar Bomba, released more energy than the entire Earth receives from the sun in a day.

How long until humankind manages to blow themselves up?


Did you know that the earth receives 3.85 x 10^24 joules per year from the sun?
Did you know that 3.85 x 10^24 J / 365.25 is 1.05407255 x 10^22J?
Did you know that 2.1 10^17 J is significantly 2.1081451 10^22?
Did you know that even if you were factoring in the theoretical yield of the Tsar Bomba 4.2 x 10^17 J is still a hell of alot less that 2.1081451 10^22 J?
Did you know your data was wrong?

Akita T
Caldari Navy Volunteer Task Force
Posted - 2011.08.14 11:16:00 - [7]
 

While we may have enough nukes to bring us back to rudimentary technology levels (after the nuclear winter and fallout also drastically culls the entire biosphere, reducing the "standard of living" to negligible levels), we don't have nearly enough nukes (if we detonate each and every one of them at the same time) to even come close to the destructive power of what Earth has seen several times over since life started on this planet (in form of asteroid strikes).
Also, if mankind vanished all of a sudden (it would actually take more than thermonuclear global war for that - we already repopulated the planet from a base stock of under 2k individuals after another previous disaster), it would take only a handful of millennia (which is barely a blink of an eye in geological timsecales) to almost completely erase all traces of humanity from the face of the planet - some "megastructures" might endure, and some regular structures may be uncovered by archaeological digs, but that's about it... even the damage done by all the nukes will barely register on the background radiation scale (unless somebody concentrated most of them in the exact same spot).

Xenuria
Gallente
Genos Occidere
HYDRA RELOADED
Posted - 2011.08.14 12:46:00 - [8]
 

Originally by: Taedrin
Edited by: Taedrin on 14/08/2011 02:45:29
OK, let's try this one last time...

(meh, close enough)
(OK, NOW it's finally ready. Stupid CCP forums censoring the + sign in a url...)

Originally by: Xenuria
1 in every 110 people has autism.
50% of all Savants are also Autistic
If the rates of autism are constantly rising how long will it take before the Rise of the Homo-Novis?




Presuming that you are using the words "constantly rising" in the appropriate mathematical sense, we can use derivatives to solve this question!

First let the rate of the rate at which autistic children being born with respect to time be expressed as a second derivative of some function:
Please visit your user settings to re-enable images.
So to find the rate of autistic children being born with respect to time, take the integral of this, which gives us:
Please visit your user settings to re-enable images.
We will use the notation that Please visit your user settings to re-enable images. represents the current year.
Next, it is given that for Please visit your user settings to re-enable images.
Using Please visit your user settings to re-enable images., and the above substitution, we have:
Please visit your user settings to re-enable images.
Solving for t, we have:
Please visit your user settings to re-enable images.
So therefore, every child being born will be autistic after Please visit your user settings to re-enable images. is a constant representing the rate at which the rate of autistic children being born is increasing per year.


you neglecting a key fact... Evolution dose not distinguish between function and deficit.

Not all autistics born will develop savant powers or even be productive members of society.

It's really a wild card. You could just end up with an autistic who can turn a dial to any station in one try. cool talent sure but what use is it?

Culmen
Caldari
Culmenation
Posted - 2011.08.14 14:32:00 - [9]
 

Originally by: Xenuria

you neglecting a key fact... Evolution dose not distinguish between function and deficit.



He also neglects the fact that evolution doesn't actually care about capability either.
It's never survival of the fittest, its survival of the fit enough.

If a dumb guy has 5 kids but can support those 5 kids, and those kids go on to have more kids.
He is evolutionarily more "successful" then the autistic genius, remembered by all, but never had kids because of his social dysfunction.

Taedrin
Gallente
Kushan Industrial
Posted - 2011.08.14 15:34:00 - [10]
 

Originally by: Culmen
Edited by: Culmen on 14/08/2011 09:49:17
Originally by: Taedrin
The largest bomb ever built, Tsar Bomba, released more energy than the entire Earth receives from the sun in a day.

How long until humankind manages to blow themselves up?


Did you know that the earth receives 3.85 x 10^24 joules per year from the sun?
Did you know that 3.85 x 10^24 J / 365.25 is 1.05407255 x 10^22J?
Did you know that 2.1 10^17 J is significantly 2.1081451 10^22?
Did you know that even if you were factoring in the theoretical yield of the Tsar Bomba 4.2 x 10^17 J is still a hell of alot less that 2.1081451 10^22 J?
Did you know your data was wrong?


Yeah, I misread the wikipedia entry - it's the total amount of energy the earth receives from the sun in a SECOND, not a day. Not nearly as impressive sounding, but still impressive none the less.
Since there are roughly 3.1 * 10^7 seconds in a year, this means there is roughly 1.2 x 10^17 J received by the earth from the sun in a second. The *ACTUAL* yield of Tsar Bomba was half of the theoretical yield (50MT instead of 100MT), which is 2.1 x 10^17 J.

So Tsar Bomba released a little less than twice the energy that the earth receives form the sun in a second.

stoicfaux
Gallente
Posted - 2011.08.14 17:44:00 - [11]
 

Do these numbers include the sunlight reflected from the moon?


Taedrin
Gallente
Kushan Industrial
Posted - 2011.08.14 18:11:00 - [12]
 

Originally by: stoicfaux
Do these numbers include the sunlight reflected from the moon?




The energy from sunlight scattered off of the moon is negligible, as it will likely be a few orders of magnitude smaller. The reason for this is that the moon absorbs the vast majority of the energy from the sun light that hits it, and only a relatively small amount of energy is scattered back towards the Earth.

0oO0oOoOo0o
Posted - 2011.08.14 18:52:00 - [13]
 

What you are calling "savant powers" is a defect in the brain that does not allow people to filter information before it is stored. Means they store anything unfiltered and therefore can remember phone-books and such. A normal human could do that as well, if that filter is suppressed. And that's exactly what science is currently working on: to disable the filter temporarily with drugs or magnetic fields or other methods.
In the future you will learn like this: You gather the learning materials, sit down, then disable the filter function of the brain, go through the learning materials (which you instantly memorize by just seeing it once) and after the learning period your brain functions as normal again, so that you don't get overwhelmed by sensory input in your everyday life.


 

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