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Omune Balenne
Federation Navy
Posted - 2010.12.06 01:29:00 - [1]
 

This report does not claim to be either exhaustive, or entirely accurate. It represents the very latest compilations of analyses and theories offered by various organizations, including the FIO and Federation Navy. It is intended for immediate release to capsuleer forces, in the hope that information, flawed as it may be, will help us all find a way to counter the Sansha threat more intelligently.

Strategic Overview:

Space Superiority: Control of the space immediately surrounding Sansha’s Nation wormholes is essential to repelling each invasion. The data gathered so far tells the same story across all four empires: when an attack is met with heavy capsuleer resistance, the Sansha dropships become less effective. They take less people, and spend less time exposed. As much as I hate to say it, I believe the Nation is risk-averse when it comes to escorting abductees. They guard captives ferociously, and if they can’t guarantee a safe way out through a wormhole “portal” for these people then they will withdraw.

It will be our actions in space that ultimately determine the fate of each planet under attack.

Planetary Infrastructure: The assessments already made by pilot Cosmopolite in this communication broadly reflect our own views. Planetary infrastructure can help play a powerful role in the defense and evacuation of planetside citizenry, but one that is ultimately only supplementary. Groundside forces without support in space are only so useful, and run the risk of abduction and interception themselves. Initiate evacuations and deploy infrastructure with due care and diligence, and never trust entirely any intelligence that relies on Sansha broadcasts. It is not our place to say that the citizens of Antem or Anyed were needlessly evacuated – the risk alone would justify the operations in the eyes of many. All that should be noted is that the Sansha have proven themselves capable of effective misinformation campaigns on more than one occasion.

Combat Scanning: Nation continues to use deadspace pockets to base critical operations and large-scale abductions out of. Pilots must prepare in every battle to scan down the enemy. The Nation’s sporadic use of this tactic has, perhaps, lured many into a sense of complacency, and it’s use again today during the Monalaz operation bought their Commanders far too much time.

Omune Balenne
Federation Navy
Posted - 2010.12.06 01:31:00 - [2]
 

Operational:

PUBLIC PORTAL: 00-000-4567-ISHAEKA

This portal is comprised of network captures and interceptions of Nation transmissions. Be mindful that everything you find here is intentionally placed into public view by Sansha agents. They have become aware of this leak and taken apparently no steps to stop it. Various pieces of misinformation have already wreaked havoc on the battlefield, and there should be little doubt that the Nation is attempting to turn CONCORD’s intelligence into a weakness for us all.

It is this latter possibility that I believe also drives CONCORD’s absolutely covert release of this information. They do not want to be seen as aiding the Sansha, even if these captures have so far offered tremendously useful insights into ongoing Nation plans.

The need for capsuleers to remain well-informed is still not fully appreciated by some organizations.

The temptation to take every capture as factual is one we must not succumb to. As a hidden layer of code on the main interface of the Sansha’s portal taunts: I know you better than you know yourself. We must show him that is not the case. We must not let his operatives and allies lead us astray, and yet still take advantage of his hubris in broadcasting operational information in such a blatant manner.

The Monalaz Operation and Transmissions from Nodes 06 / 07

Status Update:

As of almost one hour ago, CONCORD relayed an internal snapshot of their networks in the Monalaz constellation to FIO agents and other parties in an effort to verify network integrity. This action was taken due to intelligence that indicates the Monalaz constellation network may have been in some way compromised during today’s attack by Sansha forces.

Since that time, no faults or abnormalities have been found. The process of vetting the entire network is a large one however, and a full verification will take time.

Overview:

Approximately three days ago, a new capture of the Sansha transmissions was relayed through the CONCORD network and began circulating amongst empire analysts and capsuleers. The following is an overview of both transmissions, as well as follow-up observations taken from FIO agents present at the three ensuing invasions of Antem, Imya and Anyed.


Omune Balenne
Federation Navy
Posted - 2010.12.06 01:35:00 - [3]
 

Node 06

An audio stream featuring Kuvakei himself. Encoded inside the audio was the following message, edited for clarity:

Quote:
FORCES DEPLOY TO SYSTEMS OF ANYED IMYA ANTEM 20:00.5.12.112
LAUNCH OPERATIONS IN EACH SYSTEM AHEAD OF ASSEMBLY IN ANTEM
SURVIVAL OF ALL FOUR COMMANDERS NECESSARY TO ESTABLISH UPLINK TO THE REST OF NATION

IF ONE FALLS THE MONALAZ OPERATION WILL FAIL
UNITY IS CRITICAL
IF ONE FALLS THE MONALAZ OPERATION WILL FAIL



This was the first intelligence we had on the Monalaz operation, and it was quickly disseminated amongst the appropriate people.

Various points of note were identified by various capsuleers, including the earlier-mentioned analysis by Cosmopolite.

The phrase “launching operations ahead of assembly” suggested that any dropship invasions of the planets would either be secondary, or entirely diversionary in nature. There is an implied importance to the “assembly” and the establishment of an “uplink”. We saw later, during the operation, that Nation Commanders were indeed attempting to establish an uplink of some kind from hidden locations in system.

The other obvious point of note in the transmission was the mention of their weakness: Each Nation Commander needed to survive.

This is, I believe, a piece of “intel” that the Sansha purposefully crafted in certain ways to mislead us, while still relaying information to whatever “entities” might be out there, at the other end of these transmissions. I watched as one of the Nation Commanders, Slave 32152, was destroyed. Yet just before the Chimera was torn apart, she transmitted in local comms: Uplink Established.

This leads us to believe that Nation forces were only vulnerable for certain periods – a theory backed up by the information revealed in Node 07. That, outside of a specific window of time, their downfall would no longer affect this operation.

This means, then, that the destruction of the Nation capital came, so painfully, only seconds too late.

Yet in that same result I see the ease with which we could guarantee future success, if the Nation chooses to deploy this tactic once more. We came so unbelievably close, and next time we will be ready for it.

Just as we will be ready to adapt even further to whatever is thrown our way.


Omune Balenne
Federation Navy
Posted - 2010.12.06 01:40:00 - [4]
 

Edited by: Omune Balenne on 06/12/2010 01:46:11
Node 07

Approximately one day ago, Node 07 became active with another transmission. The file was a remotely-accessible data bank in a planetside Ytiri warehouse. The owner of the warehouse item could not be traced, and my understanding is that local authorities have little clue as to how it got there.

This second transmission was clearly designed once again to mislead. A Caldari warehouse, on an Amarr planet, with images of a Gallente station. It was all intended to confuse and inspire fruitless investigations. The file included 3 nondescript camera drone captures of an unknown Gallente station, all of them intended to distract from the real message. Hidden in the loading algorithm was an extremely basic binary-encoded transmission:

Quote:
FORCES AT ANTEM ARE IN COMMAND OF ESTABLISHING THE ARRAY.

ONCE ALL THREE UPLINKS ARE ESTABLISHED AND EMBEDDED WITHIN THE NETWORK CODE WE WILL BE ABLE TO TRACK ALL CONCORD FLEET MOVEMENTS ACROSS MONALAZ. UPLINKS WILL TAKE ONLY A FEW MOMENTS. FULL EMBED ESTIMATED BEFORE 4 MONTHS.

20:00 TO 20:15 HEAVENBOUND UPLINK IMYA
20:15 TO 20:30 NAKRI UPLINK ANYED
20:30 TO 21:00 ASTUR UPLINK ANTEM



This communication revealed the deeper objective to the operation: tracking the movement of CONCORD fleets. Why Monalaz however, remains unknown. I have some theories, but some things I think I’ll get more solid evidence on before bringing them out here.

The most important piece of information was the “schedule” outlined, and yet it was also the most dangerous, since it was entirely misleading.

The Nation broadcast describes a staggered process, whereby both Nation Commanders Heavenbound and Nakri would become active during 15 minute periods, with no overlap between. After this point, Astur would become active for a period of 30 minutes in Antem.

Barely any of this information was correct, however. Only the length of the timers was entirely true, and I believe that every other facet of the operation had already been locked down – that all the Nation was communicating in this transmission was the length of time needed on each uplink.

The discrepancies follow:

  • Nation Commanders present were: Slave 32152, Slave Heavenbound02 and Citizen Astur. Slave Nakri was not present.

  • The order in which they appeared was different, and as listed above: 32152, Heavenbound, Astur.

  • The times were not staggered at all, they overlapped heavily. For one 5 minute period, all three Commanders were active – a point that bears further investigation. This late-game change of plans from the Sansha threw an extra hurdle at fleets attempting to coordinate between the three locations.

  • Deployment times according to compiled information were instead:

  • Slave 32152: 20:20 to 20:35 (15 minutes)
    Slave Heavenbound: 20:30 to 20:45 (15 minutes)
    Citizen Astur: 20:30 to 21:00 (30 minutes)


Analysis


To put it simply, we came to fight hordes of mindless drones with our giant fleets. What we met was four Commanders, virtually alone; and each of them intent on evasion. They and their allies did everything they could to misdirect, harass and confuse the large, unwieldy forces arrayed against them. In the end, just barely, Nation managed to achieve its objective.

Another operation like this will not be so lucky.


Seriphyn Inhonores
Gallente
Eleutherian Guard
Posted - 2010.12.06 02:30:00 - [5]
 

Recieved and understood, comrade Balenne.

Nice to know the Federation Navy approves of the planetary infrastructure tactic. We'll be sure to prepare FDU expeditionary forces for any future incursion into friendly territories.

Liberty and Victory.

Istvaan Shogaatsu
Caldari
Guiding Hand Social Club
Posted - 2010.12.06 02:47:00 - [6]
 

Now the question remains... who was Sansha calling?

Ber Kan
Caldari
Posted - 2010.12.06 02:58:00 - [7]
 

ground operations...shall commence...

Anslo
Disciples of Night
Dominion of Darkness
Posted - 2010.12.06 02:59:00 - [8]
 

I'll ensure double the forces are deployed next time...and they won't be hired mercenaries...
Next time, they'll face the full deployment of a few Southern Coalition Battalions.

Major JSilva
Caldari
Oberon Incorporated
Morsus Mihi
Posted - 2010.12.06 03:25:00 - [9]
 

Thank you for stating intelligence we were already aware of. We have tactics to defeat the Sansha Balenne and by some faint luck the Sansha suceeded. I hope you are faster in summing up intelligence such as this Balenne, though I'm not suprised. The Federation navy can't even hold Luminaire. If you can't even defend your home system how do you expect to repel a incursion without capsuleer intervention.

Verone
Gallente
Veto Corp
Posted - 2010.12.06 04:11:00 - [10]
 

Balenne,

All of this wonderful fluff and theory about the evening's events is heart warming, and it's lovely to see that perhaps after all a single commander within the Federal Military gives enough of a **** to actually speak out.

However, I have a few questions.

Please take into account the hostilities between the Federal Defence Union and the 24th Imperial Crusade, as well as the state of war between the Empire and the Federation, in addition to the entire fiasco surrounding Anvent Eturrer, and the attacks on Federal assets by a fleet under the command of Imperial Heir Uriam Kador.

With these facts in mind, please explain why an officer of the Federation Navy is providing an after action report and breakdown of events, pertaining to a battle that occured in Genesis, which is held under Amarr rule, and Imperial sovereignty save for a few systems wholely unconnected to these events that are maintained by The CONCORD Assembly?

Tell me, Balenne? Where are the glorious wings of the Federation Navy? Where are the millions of servicemen and women with the burning desire to protect the honour of the Federal crest? Where is Roden's crimson army now? A fleet slandered by your own news agencies as a capitalist, corporate army with no place in the Federation's democratic structure?

Where are the dozens of Avatar class titans, the hundreds of Aeon class supercarriers, the legions of Armageddon and Apocalypse class battleships that decorated the skies above Oris to celebrate the glorious return of Jamyl Sarum during her coronation? Where is the Imperial Navy when the Empire's loyal subjects are being lifted from their beds and bundled into transports like cattle to be carted off to Stain? Ironically familiar to what the Imperialists did to the Matari people all those years ago, isn't it?

Heth crows about the State's unity and economic might, yet his all powerful facist... sorry... provist navy sits idle in gravdock, watching Nation continue to molest and destroy the very people and culture he started a racist, and hate mongering war with the Federation to "protect".

As for Shakor, I'll go easy on him. It's a lot more simple to play dumb and ignore the facts when you're blind. Perhaps the Republic Fleet would be in a more combat ready state if the Matari government weren't so dependant on their friends hiding in the Great Wildlands? I'd say it's about time he got corrective surgery and opened his eyes, but a fat lot of good it would do. You can't teach an old dog new tricks.


In the end, all of these points come down to a simple conclusion.

The four major powers and their bastard child sub-states have failed to protect the interests and well being of their subjects.

The four major powers have failed to protect their subjects even in their joint effort; the corrupt and now irrelevant shell of what once was The CONCORD Assembly.

Nation continues to launch attacks across the cluster, and the only opposition to the wrath of Kuvakei that the four powers themselves ironically set in motion over a century ago, is the disorganised and ramshackle efforts of a few hundred thousand capsuleers.

Millions of Navy warships sit idle in dock across the cluster, while the leaders of governments bicker and squabble like children while the very people who put them in power are torn from beneath their noses by Nation's raids.

People have asked me why I instruct my corporation not to fight, why I sit back and laugh at the carnage.

The simple fact of the matter is that while I despise Kuvakei's methods, along with the execution of his ideals and his sick, twisted vision... he's right that the cluster has brought this on itself through its own ridiculous, racist, hateful and short sighted actions over the last hundred years.

I'd rather succeed where the sovereign powers have failed and take care of my own people while I watch both sides burn, than be so shallow as to choose an allegiance.


Vikarion
Caldari
State Trade Consortium
Posted - 2010.12.06 04:14:00 - [11]
 

Edited by: Vikarion on 06/12/2010 04:15:49
This is pathetic. It has been pathetic, and it continues to be pathetic.

I can understand CONCORD/DED and the empires getting caught off-guard. That's understandable, we all were. But the amount of actual cooperation and assistance received by capsuleers opposed to the Nation from CONCORD and the Federation Navy has been minimal.

From the other empires, even less. This is somewhat understandable in the case of the State, due to the Bi-Polar Bears debacle, but for the Republic and Amarr Empire? Furthermore, there is no excuse whatsoever for the continuing lack of efforts to coordinate responses, even within national boundaries.

It would be simplicity itself to set up a listening post within each settled system with gravimetric detectors. For that matter, even just monitoring the local communications channels would do, since the Sansha don't know how to shut up. It would also be simplicity itself to communicated any incursions to an intelligence channel capsuleers could subscribe to. There are many already, such as "SYNE Public".

But you don't. CONCORD doesn't, the Navies don't...it's almost as if you want to use this to frighten your populations into supporting you. Or perhaps you have the warped idea that not telling us what we need to know will keep us from straying too far. Perhaps you are simply incompetent. Perhaps you're a Sansha yourself.

You can't even get the post-battle analysis right. After some conversation with Julianus Soter, I established the following time of incursion in Imya:
[20:00:38 ] Slave 32152 Nation is conducting operations in this system.

And in Anyed:
[20:31:34 ] Slave Heavenbound02 Flagship deployed.

And then, combat logs from Antem:
Julianus Soter > [21:00:11 ] (combat) Your group of Neutron Blaster Cannon II barely scratches Citizen Astur (Wyvern), causing 39.9 damage.

While your end-time is correct, your start time is considerably off. This brings up the question of how, exactly, we might have had more of an effect if we already managed to create disruptions in their schedule. "Barely missing" it doesn't seem to be probable - more accurately, we probably never came close to stopping them. Rather, it seems we are being "teased" with success. And this leads to questions as to whether it is actually possible for capsuleers to succeed in depriving the Sansha of their objectives, or whether we are merely set-pieces in a game so that the empires can demonstrate that they are "doing something".

I could also ask exactly how you are getting all of this information. As I understand, the jurisdiction of the Federal Navy is limited to the borders of the Federation. Do you have some sort of cluster-wide intelligence network you are relying on? Or are CONCORD using you as a mouthpiece? Perhaps you have recently come into omniscience?

But none of these things are the point. The real problem is that capsuleers don't have the resources or ability to set up cluster-wide monitoring systems, while the empires do. We don't need the empires or CONCORD trying to analyze Sansha transmissions for clues and separating truth from falsehood, we need early warning systems so that we can go stop the Sansha. The problem isn't that we don't know weeks ahead, it's that most of us don't know even when an incursion is under way! And even when we do, we get so precious little in the way of intel on what is happening.


Ber Kan
Caldari
Posted - 2010.12.06 04:18:00 - [12]
 

becuase...we act, and react quicker than most...

snake driver
Amarr
Posted - 2010.12.06 05:48:00 - [13]
 

Originally by: Vikarion
Edited by: Vikarion on 06/12/2010 04:15:49
This is pathetic. It has been pathetic, and it continues to be pathetic.

I can understand CONCORD/DED and the empires getting caught off-guard. That's understandable, we all were. But the amount of actual cooperation and assistance received by capsuleers opposed to the Nation from CONCORD and the Federation Navy has been minimal.




Caught off guard? Caught off guard? These attacks have been happening for months!

There may have been something of a lull over the summer, but this has been going on since last March or April. I understand that bureaucracies move slowly, but that was a fine excuse last spring. If the major powers of the cluster haven't bothered to pull their pants back up, this seems like a case of deliberate negligence rather than simply being 'caught off guard.' Much as I dislike agreeing with a pirate, perhaps Verone is right.

Vikarion
Caldari
State Trade Consortium
Posted - 2010.12.06 07:54:00 - [14]
 

Originally by: snake driver
Originally by: Vikarion
Edited by: Vikarion on 06/12/2010 04:15:49
This is pathetic. It has been pathetic, and it continues to be pathetic.

I can understand CONCORD/DED and the empires getting caught off-guard. That's understandable, we all were. But the amount of actual cooperation and assistance received by capsuleers opposed to the Nation from CONCORD and the Federation Navy has been minimal.




Caught off guard? Caught off guard? These attacks have been happening for months!

There may have been something of a lull over the summer, but this has been going on since last March or April. I understand that bureaucracies move slowly, but that was a fine excuse last spring. If the major powers of the cluster haven't bothered to pull their pants back up, this seems like a case of deliberate negligence rather than simply being 'caught off guard.' Much as I dislike agreeing with a pirate, perhaps Verone is right.


If you had finished reading what I wrote, rather than what you thought I wrote, you might not be repeating something I already said.

Elsebeth Rhiannon
Minmatar
Gradient
Electus Matari
Posted - 2010.12.06 09:45:00 - [15]
 

Thank you for the report; it is illuminating.

Captain Verone already breached this topic, but let me ask again with a rephrasing:

Why is a Federation Navy officer providing an AAR, after apparently providing support, for an attack in Genesis, where similar attacks in the Republic have gone without any apparent notice and support from the Gallentean Federation?

If the idea is that we are supposed to "put aside our differences" in the face of this new threat, is it also the idea that the Republic systems currently falling into Empire hands in Metropolis are a non-issue to the Federation Navy now, in the face of this new threat?

Elsebeth Rhiannon
CEO, Gradient

Rodj Blake
Amarr
PIE Inc.
Posted - 2010.12.06 10:22:00 - [16]
 

I too would like to know why the Federation Navy has such an interest in Amarrian space.

Akrasjel Lanate
Gallente
Naquatech Conglomerate
Yulai Federation
Posted - 2010.12.06 10:27:00 - [17]
 

Thank you for your report Mr.Omune Balenne, but i hope the Federation Navy will engage the Nation forces in a more active way in the future.

Akrasjel Lanate
CEO, Naquatech Conglomerate

Hooch Flux
Caldari
Posted - 2010.12.06 11:03:00 - [18]
 

Edited by: Hooch Flux on 06/12/2010 11:51:08
Originally by: Rodj Blake
I too would like to know why the Federation Navy has such an interest in Amarrian space.


I would have thought this would be fairly obvious...
It's doubtful he is interested in Amarrian space, but he is interested in how we deal with this threat. All the better it happened in Amarr space from his perspective!
I'm sure it doesn't hurt Federation interests to help us with these briefings, in fact it's probably a good thing, what if the next one happens in the Federation? I am curious as to why no one from the Amarrian Navy is not also getting their oar in though?
I suspect the reason the Navies are not getting involved at this stage is because of us. Why put there fleets and troops in harms way when you can have an "Immortal" army do it for you, so what if a few crewmen die in the process, that's why they are paid the big ISK.

Verone, one question, when the Nation wipes out the empires, what are you going to do when they come for you?

((Spelling, thx Raze.))

Raze Valadeus
Amarr
Knighthood of the Merciful Crown
Posted - 2010.12.06 11:43:00 - [19]
 

Edited by: Raze Valadeus on 06/12/2010 11:46:25
Edited by: Raze Valadeus on 06/12/2010 11:45:37
((Edited to correct confusing capitalization issues))

I believe he's already stated that he's going to "defend his own." Not that I agree with his attitude, approach and outlook - but there's little point in asking questions he's already answered.

Unless he feels his people and territory are threatened, or he is paid a substantial amount of ISK, you won't be goading his assistance, he's made that perfectly clear.

As for this report: Some valid questions have been raised, but I'll not repeat them.

Rather, I will state that it is encouraging to see capsuleers are at least moderately willing to cooperate against Sansha, even if the empires are unwilling to do so. Of course, not everyone is simply going to "conveniently forget" the wrongs committed them by other capsuleers or empire loyalists, but there are many more who are trying to cooperate.

I would urge two points:

One: This isn't about empires and nations. The incursions aren't threatening empires or nations, they're threatening people. Civilians. No matter how pathetic you think they are, or how beneath the notice of "immortal" capsuleers, they are still people being torn from their homes and their families - regardless of what empire they live in. If the empires won't defend them and they can't defend themselves, then who will? That's what I'm fighting for, at least.

And for those of you who would point out that these activities are similar to what the Amarr Empire has done to the Matari in the past as a way of discrediting my statement, understand that I speak for myself, not the Empire. The Empire can, and will, speak for itself.

Two: The fact that we are divided amongst ourselves, squabbling like children and turning on each other with the same hostility we've kept for centuries is exactly what Sansha is counting on. Chaos, division and confusion are the weapons we are destroying ourselves with. Until we can eliminate the enemy's foothold within our own ranks, by overcoming the barriers we're putting up ourselves, then we're fighting a battle we're making exponentially more difficult on ourselves. Where's the logic in that?

There will be no heroic rally call or glorious command of assembly at the end of this message. I'm not asking anyone to follow me or any other person. Simply this: If we each do the best that we can to stand against Sansha and do our best for the people who are in danger, we'll present a much stronger front to oppose Sansha with than we currently are.

Hooch Flux
Caldari
Posted - 2010.12.06 12:24:00 - [20]
 

Edited by: Hooch Flux on 06/12/2010 12:24:40
Originally by: Raze Valadeus
I believe he's already stated that he's going to "defend his own." Not that I agree with his attitude, approach and outlook - but there's little point in asking questions he's already answered.

Unless he feels his people and territory are threatened, or he is paid a substantial amount of ISK, you won't be goading his assistance, he's made that perfectly clear.


I am well aware of the statements that Verone has given on this issue. The question was more rhetorical. but if an answer is needed I'm sure Verone would answer!

It's also not for this thread, but that is my fault...

Rodj Blake
Amarr
PIE Inc.
Posted - 2010.12.06 12:38:00 - [21]
 

Originally by: Hooch Flux
I am curious as to why no one from the Amarrian Navy is not also getting their oar in though?



I suspect that they don't feel the need to beat their chests in public as the Republic and Federation navies do.

Hooch Flux
Caldari
Posted - 2010.12.06 12:52:00 - [22]
 

Originally by: Rodj Blake
I suspect that they don't feel the need to beat their chests in public as the Republic and Federation navies do.


Probably true...

Borza Slavak
Minmatar
Mirkur Draug'Tyr
Ushra'Khan
Posted - 2010.12.06 13:13:00 - [23]
 

Originally by: Rodj Blake
Originally by: Hooch Flux
I am curious as to why no one from the Amarrian Navy is not also getting their oar in though?



I suspect that they don't feel the need to beat their chests in public as the Republic and Federation navies do.

Or perhaps they are of the opinion that the Sansha attacks are one of the many perverse punishments meted out by their twisted godling, and resigned to do nothing about them.

Raze Valadeus
Amarr
Knighthood of the Merciful Crown
Posted - 2010.12.06 13:29:00 - [24]
 

Originally by: Borza Slavak
Originally by: Rodj Blake
Originally by: Hooch Flux
I am curious as to why no one from the Amarrian Navy is not also getting their oar in though?



I suspect that they don't feel the need to beat their chests in public as the Republic and Federation navies do.

Or perhaps they are of the opinion that the Sansha attacks are one of the many perverse punishments meted out by their twisted godling, and resigned to do nothing about them.


Do not be so vain as to mock God, Matari. Spew your hatred of the Empire and its people if it makes you feel better, but do not rebuke God, He will rectify injustices against Him.

The Cosmopolite
Jericho Fraction
The Star Fraction
Posted - 2010.12.06 14:00:00 - [25]
 

Please visit your user settings to re-enable images.

The Star Fraction has conducted its own preliminary review of the events of yesterday and by and large concurs with the analysis of Federation Navy officer Balenne.

We now believe that the critical issue was the destruction of those Sansha's Nation assets involved in establishing uplinks while those uplinks were being established. Observer units stationed in all three systems have reported that Nation commanders deployed their vessels into the systems some time before commencing uplinking operations. In some cases, many minutes before actually beginning the process of deploying their uplinks. We should recognise a distinction between Nation deploying vessels and deploying its uplinks.

We theorise that the survival of the Nation commanders before and after the process of uplinking was of no critical importance. We assume Nation had contingency plans and very possibly had at least one commander on standby in the event that one of the three deployed commanders was destroyed prematurely. We theorise that Nation's uplinking is a relatively complex and intensive process involving quantum communications and multiplexing cryptographic operations. We believe that a catastrophic interruption of such a process once it had begun would have thwarted the objectives of Nation.

This point was somewhat obscured before Nation began its operations in Antem, Anyed and Imya. We must recognise that they appear to have rapidly adapted to the interception of their communications and carried out a disinformation operation of some sophistication. The misdirection was subtle, close enough to the truth to be compelling but deflecting attention just so far as to afford them the window they required.

In this regard we note that Nation forces carried out the inevitable diversionary attacks, including incursions in orbit around the temperate planets in Antem and Anyed, while their commanders deployed to positions somewhat away from the diversionary forces. While they were all scanned down eventually, for example in Antem initially by both the CVA and the Star Fraction, there was a critical delay in such scanning caused by both the diversionary actions and in some cases lack of sufficient scan probe coverage.

We can only echo the recommendation that scan probe equipment be considered absolutely essential for counter-Nation operations. We also suggest that there is a need to steel ourselves against the possibility of making hard choices. Diversionary attacks made by Nation are successful in their true objective if we allow ourselves to be hypnotized into responding to them uncritically. The medium- to long-term goals of Nation must be thwarted, even at heavy short-term cost.

In the end, recriminations are neither use nor ornament. The Star Fraction salutes all those who fought against the Sansha threat in Antem, Anyed and Imya. We were defeated but this was but one battle. Whatever the purpose of Nation in monitoring CONCORD movements in Monalaz may be it is likely to be a means to some greater end. Why Monalaz? Well, that it is the sole neighbouring constellation to the EVE constellation is somewhat suggestive to our way of thinking.

There is hope here, however, for these uplinks and the process of monitoring they apparently serve may prove a double-edged sword for Nation. It is a basic feature of quantum key secured communications that it is not possible to monitor them without revealing the fact that a given communication has been monitored – which fact may reveal the particular interests of the monitoring party. Moreover, quantum-entangled one-time pads, if properly constructed, are literally impossible to decrypt. Ineffectual and interfering as CONCORD are, let us hope they are at least half-way competent when it comes to their comms traffic security – that is, if they are not already hopelessly penetrated by Nation agents.

The Cosmopolite

Alain Colcer
Quantum Cats Syndicate
Posted - 2010.12.06 14:15:00 - [26]
 

Thank you for the report Officer Balenne.

I hope the information gathered from the Monalaz attacks serve the Federation Navy to properly mount defensive action should the Sansha attemp any attacks in our nation's space.

Are there any comments from the Federation Intelligence Office and Federal Administration?.

Seriphyn Inhonores
Gallente
Eleutherian Guard
Posted - 2010.12.06 14:53:00 - [27]
 

It's very simple as to why comrade Balenne is releasing this report. All four empires cooperate against Sansha's Nation under DED oversight, such as the continued occupation of Stain (if that even is still in effect, nobody knows).

Comrade Balenne, over the course of these incursions, has been the one to engage frequently with the capsuleers on the IGS and GalNet, regarding the discussion as to understanding the Nation threat. This includes breaking down the meaning of "Ishaeka" and various other things. Therefore, it only makes sense he releases this as well, as none of the other empire military representatives have been in communicado as much as Balenne.

Elsebeth Rhiannon
Minmatar
Gradient
Electus Matari
Posted - 2010.12.06 15:01:00 - [28]
 

Edited by: Elsebeth Rhiannon on 06/12/2010 15:01:50
I find it faulty logic and extremely naive to say that since these attacks "target civilians rather than nations", this has no bearing on the relationships of the nations, or that we should "transcend beyond" our nationalistic interests and as capsuleers help the people - as if "people" are somehow separate from us.

Myself, I consider myself a human being and a member of the Sebiestor tribe. My tribesmen and -women who are enslaved or killed by the Amarrians are, for the most part, civilians, who have done exactly nothing to ask for that fate or to deserve it. They are, in that sense, not in any sense less worthy of my attention than civilians abducted by the Sansha, and I resent the implication that my wish to defend my nation would somehow stem from disregard to non-capsuleers.

Some of you seem to assume that if these Sansha raids are not stopped, every civilian everywhere will in the end end up a Sansha slave. I doubt that this is true. Many people will, but I have not seen any intel whatsoever to suggest that the Sansha would be capable to take everyone, or even anything close to a majority of the citizens of the nation states.

And if we stop the Sansha attacks, but only at the the cost of Republic falling, will that be worth it? Myself, as a member of the free tribes, I do not think so. Unfortunately, in this case, when the Empire attacks our systems and some have already fallen, it seems that my best way to go about this is to try and repel the Sansha from the tribal lands, but cheer when the Amarr and the Sansha fight with each other.

I know this is not something most of you want to hear. You want to think of yourselves as some sort of demigods, whose job is to defend those puny mortals and to decide their fates, fighting against The Evil. But I am afraid that's not how the world works, for real. Things are much, much more complicated. When you define one evil as The Evil, you open the doors to welcome five other evils instead.

And in the end, you are a mortal human too. You love and hate, laugh and cry, make decisions and mistakes, hold loyalties and opinions. And while you are harder to kill than most, you still can die.

Elsebeth

Raze Valadeus
Amarr
Knighthood of the Merciful Crown
Posted - 2010.12.06 15:46:00 - [29]
 

I'm inclined to agree with your overall standpoint, Pilot Rhiannon.

It's simply cowardice that any empire or nation would attack while their enemy is occupied with benevolence, but it is a reality. I would not ask you to abandon your people when they need you. Do what you can to protect your people and you will subsequently be protecting them from Nation as well.

Those capsuleers who refuse to help out of "fear of losing a ship" or refusal to work with such and such or so and so have no excuse to be negligent, however.

Syn Callibri
Minmatar
21st Eridani Lighthorse
Posted - 2010.12.06 16:33:00 - [30]
 

Edited by: Syn Callibri on 06/12/2010 18:09:53
Originally by: Elsebeth Rhiannon
Edited by: Elsebeth Rhiannon on 06/12/2010 15:01:50
I find it faulty logic and extremely naive to say that since these attacks "target civilians rather than nations", this has no bearing on the relationships of the nations, or that we should "transcend beyond" our nationalistic interests and as capsuleers help the people - as if "people" are somehow separate from us.

Myself, I consider myself a human being and a member of the Sebiestor tribe. My tribesmen and -women who are enslaved or killed by the Amarrians are, for the most part, civilians, who have done exactly nothing to ask for that fate or to deserve it. They are, in that sense, not in any sense less worthy of my attention than civilians abducted by the Sansha, and I resent the implication that my wish to defend my nation would somehow stem from disregard to non-capsuleers.

Some of you seem to assume that if these Sansha raids are not stopped, every civilian everywhere will in the end end up a Sansha slave. I doubt that this is true. Many people will, but I have not seen any intel whatsoever to suggest that the Sansha would be capable to take everyone, or even anything close to a majority of the citizens of the nation states.

And if we stop the Sansha attacks, but only at the the cost of Republic falling, will that be worth it? Myself, as a member of the free tribes, I do not think so. Unfortunately, in this case, when the Empire attacks our systems and some have already fallen, it seems that my best way to go about this is to try and repel the Sansha from the tribal lands, but cheer when the Amarr and the Sansha fight with each other.

I know this is not something most of you want to hear. You want to think of yourselves as some sort of demigods, whose job is to defend those puny mortals and to decide their fates, fighting against The Evil. But I am afraid that's not how the world works, for real. Things are much, much more complicated. When you define one evil as The Evil, you open the doors to welcome five other evils instead.

And in the end, you are a mortal human too. You love and hate, laugh and cry, make decisions and mistakes, hold loyalties and opinions. And while you are harder to kill than most, you still can die.

Elsebeth




I am Scorpion Clan. I am Brutor. I am Matari. I am Human. No more need be said.

(edit for accuracy)




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