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blankseplocked Betting pool: date of next QEN [closed]
 
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Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.04 21:54:00 - [1]
 

Edited by: Kazuo Ishiguro on 01/07/2009 06:50:48
Edited by: Kazuo Ishiguro on 30/06/2009 11:00:21

The rules are as follows: say in which month (and year) you think the next QEN will be published, and how much you want to bet on that month. Send me your bet (with a confirming evemail please) and I'll update the pool with new totals. A list of bets may be found here.

Other stuff:
  • Details of individual bets will remain private.
  • Betting on multiple months is allowed.
  • The minimum bet is 10m isk.
  • There is no house take.
  • CSM members / Dev alts are welcome to attempt to abuse their access to insider information.
  • The date that counts is the one at the top of the dev blog announcing the next QEN, like this one.
  • High field is July 2010. Bets on or after this month count as a single option in the pool.
  • Closing date for entries is 23:59, June 30th (eve time).

Once the next QEN is published, the pool will be paid out to all those who chose the right month, in proportion to the amount they each bet on that month. I've started things off by putting 90m up for grabs.

Krathos Morpheus
Legion Infernal
Posted - 2009.06.04 22:32:00 - [2]
 

Originally by: Kazuo Ishiguro
The rules are as follows: say in which month (and year) you think the next QEN will be published, and how much you want to bet on that month. Send me your bet (with a confirming evemail please) and I'll update the list with new totals.

Other stuff:
  • Details of individual bets will remain private.
  • Betting on multiple months is allowed.
  • The minimum bet increment is 10m isk.
  • There is no house take.
  • CSM members are welcome to attempt to abuse their access to insider information.
  • The date that counts is the one at the top of the dev blog announcing the next QEN, like this one.
  • High field is July 2010. Bets on or after this month count as a single option in the pool.

Once the next QEN is published, the pool will be paid out to all those who chose the right month, in proportion to the amount they each bet on that month. I've started things off by putting 90m up for grabs.

Nice one, but I think trust is not so great to let you manage this with private bets. Also with your current rules, what stops me from betting one trillion isks when it is december and qen is not out yet, ****ing all late bets?

Fleshbot
Posted - 2009.06.04 22:37:00 - [3]
 

Edited by: Fleshbot on 04/06/2009 22:42:19
That sir, is a brilliant way to obtain a zero interest loan.

Having said that, bets and isk will be sent in-game shortly.

Edit: Krathos makes a good point. There should be a cut off point for further bets.

glas mir
Reaction Scientific
Posted - 2009.06.05 00:37:00 - [4]
 

sounds fun, bets placed via evemail.

Lui Kai
Better Than You
Posted - 2009.06.05 01:03:00 - [5]
 

Is "Febutober the Eleventeenth" a valid bet?

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.05 08:21:00 - [6]
 

Anything I can't decipher counts as a bet on High Field. That's a good point about the closing date - I'll give people until the end of June to place bets, maybe even the end of July, unless someone actually bets on July in the meantime.

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.05 08:29:00 - [7]
 

Originally by: Krathos Morpheus
Nice one, but I think trust is not so great to let you manage this with private bets. Also with your current rules, what stops me from betting one trillion isks when it is december and qen is not out yet, ****ing all late bets?



It's not that important, I suppose, so if it generates more interest I might as well keep it as open as possible. The list of bets is here.

Ji Sama
Caldari
Tash-Murkon Prime Industries
Posted - 2009.06.05 10:04:00 - [8]
 

Come on slackers, lets get this **** train rolling.... oneoneoneoneeleven.....!!!11!!!

YouGotRipped
Ewigkeit
Posted - 2009.06.05 10:45:00 - [9]
 

Edited by: YouGotRipped on 05/06/2009 11:21:05
Originally by: Krathos Morpheus

Nice one, but I think trust is not so great to let you manage this with private bets.


Well, if you people are having trust issues with Kazuo Ishiguro, I can always step up and hold the isk in his place. Very Happy

Treelox
Posted - 2009.06.05 11:28:00 - [10]
 

In this pool are we working under the assumption that the next QEN will the next sequential QEN, i.e. 2009 2nd quarter? Or are we just quessing the next time one will be published period.

I only ask, cause if it is betting on seeing when 2nd quarter for 2009 QEN is going to come out, my bet is NEVER.

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.05 11:47:00 - [11]
 

Whichever one is next published. If you think that some of the missing ones might be next, and are likely to follow soon, feel free to place a bet on July Razz

Kazzac Elentria
Posted - 2009.06.05 12:39:00 - [12]
 

Originally by: Kazuo Ishiguro
Whichever one is next published. If you think that some of the missing ones might be next, and are likely to follow soon, feel free to place a bet on July Razz


Kazou you rule.

I'm in for March of next year, I'll figure out how much and get it sent some time this week.

Washell Olivaw
Posted - 2009.06.05 12:41:00 - [13]
 

Edited by: Washell Olivaw on 05/06/2009 12:49:33
FUBAR post, sorry for the mess

Krathos Morpheus
Legion Infernal
Posted - 2009.06.05 16:57:00 - [14]
 

Originally by: YouGotRipped
Edited by: YouGotRipped on 05/06/2009 11:21:05
Originally by: Krathos Morpheus

Nice one, but I think trust is not so great to let you manage this with private bets.


Well, if you people are having trust issues with Kazuo Ishiguro, I can always step up and hold the isk in his place. Very Happy

Nothing like that, just improving security where it is trivial to do so and avoiding unnecesary blindly faith. I trust nobody here when no consecuence is involved. Also I want to see those bets Twisted Evil

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.05 19:07:00 - [15]
 

I for one will think rather less highly of you if after all of this feedback you still don't place a bet Smile

Krathos Morpheus
Legion Infernal
Posted - 2009.06.05 19:12:00 - [16]
 

Originally by: Kazuo Ishiguro
I for one will think rather less highly of you if after all of this feedback you still don't place a bet Smile
I want to stretch the timeline in case new info gets known, so wait until the end of month. Very Happy

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.06 21:50:00 - [17]
 

Still taking bets. The pool is currently at 185m.

Carniflex
StarHunt
Fallout Project
Posted - 2009.06.07 08:22:00 - [18]
 

Originally by: Kazuo Ishiguro
Still taking bets. The pool is currently at 185m.


I just finished reading Q1 2009 one. All together 48 pages. Most of it reasonably informative altho there is ofc some additional data that would have been interesting to see. So it appears it did get published june 2009 skipping the 'in between' ones.

Estel Arador
Posted - 2009.06.07 09:06:00 - [19]
 

Originally by: Carniflex
I just finished reading Q1 2009 one. All together 48 pages. Most of it reasonably informative altho there is ofc some additional data that would have been interesting to see. So it appears it did get published june 2009 skipping the 'in between' ones.


The 'next' QEN would be the one after Q1 2009 regardless of for which quarter it is. The entire point of the betting pool is that the next one might not appear next quarter (or is likely not to).


One question though, what happens to the pool if noone wins?

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.07 10:22:00 - [20]
 

If no-one places a bet on the winning option, I'll pay everyone back.

Estel Arador
Posted - 2009.06.07 13:54:00 - [21]
 

I placed a bet on August 2009 (I always think the glass is half full Cool)

MailDeadDrop
Rage and Terror
Posted - 2009.06.08 00:14:00 - [22]
 

I take September, only because that's my birth month. I take 2009 because hope springs eternal.

MDD

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.08 11:28:00 - [23]
 

Another bet has also come in from Kazzac, and I'm placing 10m on August just to be safe - it would be annoying if one person took the whole pool uncontested. The total up for grabs now stands at 300m.

Estel Arador
Posted - 2009.06.08 21:06:00 - [24]
 

Originally by: Kazuo Ishiguro
it would be annoying if one person took the whole pool uncontested

No it wouldn't! Very Happy

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.08 23:33:00 - [25]
 

Well, that depends. If it was me it obviously wouldn't be very annoying Cool

Kazzac Elentria
Posted - 2009.06.09 00:34:00 - [26]
 

Get me down for another 50m at Dec this year and Oct this year too.

I'll get the isk wired here later tonight or tomorrow if I can get logged in.

you know Im good for it

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.12 23:02:00 - [27]
 

I'm still waiting to receive your bet. In the meantime, the pool has grown to 530m isk, and High Field has overtaken February 2010 as the favourite option.

Kazzac Elentria
Posted - 2009.06.13 20:21:00 - [28]
 

Originally by: Kazuo Ishiguro
I'm still waiting to receive your bet. In the meantime, the pool has grown to 530m isk, and High Field has overtaken February 2010 as the favourite option.


I thought I had processed.... next log on which should be when the son finally goes to sleep tonight.

Solisk
Gallente
HyperFang Aquisitions And Logistics
Posted - 2009.06.13 20:39:00 - [29]
 

Confirming that I'm in the pool for the High Field@100m. Isk already sent.

Kazuo Ishiguro
House of Marbles
Posted - 2009.06.13 22:31:00 - [30]
 

Thread title updated. Things are getting interesting!


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